8 July 2025, 17:00-17:30 Basics of stochastic thinking and Markov models

Abstract

The webinar will introduce core modelling approaches in health economics, focusing on decision trees, Markov models, and partitioned survival models. Participants will learn how to build simple decision trees, gaining a practical understanding of probability and expected value in the process. The session will also cover the principles and appropriate use of Markov and partitioned survival models, emphasising their relevance for long-term and complex disease modelling.

Short Bio

Przemysław Holko holds an MS in Biotechnology (2006) and a PhD in Public Health (2022), both from the Jagiellonian University in Kraków, Poland. Since 2008, he has collaborated on over 400 health technology assessments. Currently, he serves as an assistant professor at the Department of Nutrition and Drug Research, Institute of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, Jagiellonian University Medical College. Dr Przemysław Holko is the author of more than 40 original peer-reviewed publications in public health (cumulative IF: 70.7), cited over 370 times (Web of Science, June 2025). His research interests include economic evaluations of medical technologies, real-world data analysis, statistical modelling of observational studies, indirect costs of disease, and pharmacoepidemiology.